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Lee's avatar

You keep looking at the UK, Blair or Corbyn to explain Starmer but I really think you need to look to Australia , they (cleverly, I thought initially) looked at Bill Shorten in 2019 then Albo in 2022 to learn their lessons in not allowing a deeply unpopular divided conservative Government coming off a business change of leadership to make the election a referendum on Labor (Shorten, franking credits and 2019) and instead went with the small target strategy (Albo 2022) but they have learned the lesson too well, preference voting and the rise of the Teals was vital to Albos victory as people put off by his lack of ambition still sent their votes to him via preferences or saw preferences elect Teals, that is not an option in the UK

Also they ignored what almost got Shorten elected in 2016 one term after a devastating defeat and that was the bravery of their negative gearing policy telling the electorate they were serious and the weakness of Turnbull as nobody knew what stood for (“What’s the point of Malcolm Turnbull” was just a devastating attack line)

Shorten (and Bowen) went too far adding Franking Credits in 2019 but Albo hurt himself dumping negative gearing oin 2022

I was with Starmers strategy until recently, he really is in danger of a ‘What’s the point of Keir Starmer” attack and without preferences , giving voters nothing to vote for risks leaking loads of votes in the Greens and LDs

He needs one big policy, maybe the Green transition wasn’t the right one, but he needs one otherwise he’ll run the risk of at best minority government when he should be aiming to put the Tory’s in a 3 election hole

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Charlie Ullman's avatar

One of Paul Bloom's bits of advice to be a good guest is "Be Helen Lewis". Sensible advice, though.

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