Surely *SURELY* it must be Labour? But also that brain not-processing thing… 🎯 It’s like the last decade has so inured me to bad news that I’m in a constant state of “expect nothing to avoid disappointment”…
I don't think there'll be a huge turnout, I think the only voters who will be enthusiastic about turning out will be Reform UK. The last election showed what happens when Labour voters stay home ( the so-called "red wall" collapse), will be interesting to see what happens if Tory voters do the same.
Almost the opposite - the ruling party in the UK have actively tried to suppress voting by making it harder to get on the electoral roll, introducing voter ID restrictions, and will probably decide to hold a winter election. Add to that the predicted landslide for the opposition and our first past the post system meaning that lots of people feel their vote is worthless. So I’ll be happily surprised if voter turnout is not very low.
Loved the final link - though, as evidence that the ‘ill-advised first person essays of the 2010s’ genre wasn’t solely confined to US online magazines, I humbly submit the entirety of Liz Jones’s Somerset years.
As someone who is politically non binary, it’s hard to predict as the leaders of both major parties are rubbish at politics and terrible at campaigning. Labour majority of 300. Which will be a nightmare. Especially for women.
Follow the data, then add some because Sunak will be rubbish in a campaign and because many voters will look at Starmer and think, “Meh, he’s not so bad”. Labour majority 280.
Really enjoying Helen Lewis has left the chat! You accompanied me on the dog walk yesterday. Thanks!
And no prediction from me, but here’s my factoid: the word factoid actually means something untrue that’s repeated so often people believe it. However, since no one uses it to mean that, it’s become its own little factoid I suppose. 🤓
Surely *SURELY* it must be Labour? But also that brain not-processing thing… 🎯 It’s like the last decade has so inured me to bad news that I’m in a constant state of “expect nothing to avoid disappointment”…
I put money on the Conservatives ending up with fewer than 50 seats in the hope I might be able to pay off my student loans.
I don't think there'll be a huge turnout, I think the only voters who will be enthusiastic about turning out will be Reform UK. The last election showed what happens when Labour voters stay home ( the so-called "red wall" collapse), will be interesting to see what happens if Tory voters do the same.
Is voting not compulsory?
Not in the UK
Really! That's so interesting. I figured we would have the same rules. It's compulsory in Australia.
Almost the opposite - the ruling party in the UK have actively tried to suppress voting by making it harder to get on the electoral roll, introducing voter ID restrictions, and will probably decide to hold a winter election. Add to that the predicted landslide for the opposition and our first past the post system meaning that lots of people feel their vote is worthless. So I’ll be happily surprised if voter turnout is not very low.
Finger in the air Labour majority of 197. Hard to see them getting less than 150 majority for sure.
More difficult to call is - I think - the SNP results. They have many of the same lengthy incumbency issues as the Tories.
The difference is that, with the Tories, it feels like the voters are in a mood to punish.
Labour majority of 144.
Loved the final link - though, as evidence that the ‘ill-advised first person essays of the 2010s’ genre wasn’t solely confined to US online magazines, I humbly submit the entirety of Liz Jones’s Somerset years.
As someone who is politically non binary, it’s hard to predict as the leaders of both major parties are rubbish at politics and terrible at campaigning. Labour majority of 300. Which will be a nightmare. Especially for women.
Follow the data, then add some because Sunak will be rubbish in a campaign and because many voters will look at Starmer and think, “Meh, he’s not so bad”. Labour majority 280.
Thanks for the trigger warning. NOBODY SHOULD BE FORCED TO WATCH MIME.
I'm calling it: Labour majority of 182. I am extremely confident about this so no need to hang about, just send me the signed copy now.
What ever is the equivalent of 52/48 ,can't manage the maths of other parties
Really enjoying Helen Lewis has left the chat! You accompanied me on the dog walk yesterday. Thanks!
And no prediction from me, but here’s my factoid: the word factoid actually means something untrue that’s repeated so often people believe it. However, since no one uses it to mean that, it’s become its own little factoid I suppose. 🤓
Labour majority of 50 due to Reform pulling out in Tory seats. SORRY
Went for 175 on DA - looking better since - now going for 185 (and tories to have c65)
154 seat majority for Labour. Lol, can’t believe I am typing this.
That axl rose story ✨
No specific comment on this post, but wanted to say that I just finished reading Difficult Women and really enjoyed it!